Hello Friends,

In the last article I introduced us to the field of computational climate dynamics. I hope that the field seemed interesting for some of you as the great minds we have among Tunza members can greatly contribute to such fields across environmental sciences. What I hoped to show through that was also the fact that people from all different backgrounds and interests can help in the study of climate and environment. I know that for myself this has been true. As a person interested primarily in applied mathematics and physics, I have found an area where I can settle down and conduct research for the last 2 years. So, therefore in this article I will be discussing some of the work I have been doing in this field.

So, the work that I was conducted primarily with climate modelling to create a comprehensive study of the future climate conditions possibilities over the next 10,000 years. I created climate models to create the climate stimulation possibilities under varying amounts of human GHG inputs. Now what does this mean? Well, as many of us know, the Earth?s climate changes naturally without human influence hence the ice ages. However, it is hypothesized that the human impact upon the environment is not one to be ignored a hypothesis that has been hotly debated. However, given the use of climate models that we can develop, we can study the ?natural? climate change over a certain period. We can then input human impacts of varying magnitudes to project the effect of human disturbance over the same period. This creates various stimulations that indicate the effect of each human disturbance with respect to the ?natural? model.

That was the basis behind the study I conducted. I was able to learn and use math, coding and software skills to firstly write a novel mathematical model, then code it and finally create a fully functional mathematical climate model on a computer interface. The model was able to process and evaluate the climate conditions caused by differing GHG emissions scenarios based on the reports published by IPCC. These emissions scenarios are based on differing socio-economic conditions. They are 100 year projections. Using this 100 years of ?human disturbance? I deviation of climate situations caused by each GHG scenario from the ?natural? scenario (where the climate change is not influenced by any human factors) over a long term period of 10,000 years. Thus, I was able to evaluate the effects of 100 years of human influence upon the long term evolution of the climate. This allows the analysis of truly how much a short term human influence and impact the long term natural evolutions of the Earth?s climate.

My results have truly been eye-opening. I have found not only that GHG can cause great climate changes over the next 100 years but also cause profound and long lasting climatic effects over the next 10,000 years. I found that GHG have a destabilizing effect on the long term climate cycles. Finally, to find the accuracy of the models I developed numerous cross checks with other models and empirical data were conducted. The model showed errors of less than 5% at maximum thus showing that the data is reliable.

That is my work of the last 2 years. However, I am opening it up on this platform for comments, concerns, questions, and ideas. Please feel free to ask away!

Kindest Regards,

Nitish Bhatt 

P.S. The picture below is of my presentation of this study at the Canadian National Science Fair where this study in this field led me to achieve to Bronze Medal at the National Level. So, I highly recommend this field of study for any enthusiasts. Environmental sciences are a field where everyone can engage in study. It does not matter if you get assistance in your scientific studies, it does not matter if you have resources at your hands or not. If you self teach then you will be on your path to success...something that formal teaching cannot offer you...because when you self teach you are putting 100% of your own effort and will forward. That will lead to the success!