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[July Theme Report] Climate Change

by William Park | 31-07-2023 21:40


The Danger of Sea Level Rise in the Philippines

As an archipelago nation with over 7,600 islands, one of the most tangible consequences that pose an alarming threat to the Philippines is rising sea levels. The country's unique geography and socio-economic characteristics make it highly susceptible to the adverse effects of sea level rise. 

According to data from the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), the average global sea level has risen at an accelerated rate of approximately 3.1 millimeters per year over the past 25 years. However, some areas in the Philippines have experienced even higher rates of sea level rise due to various factors, such as local subsidence and oceanographic changes. With over 60% of the Philippine population residing along the coastline, sea level rise poses a significant threat to coastal communities. A study by the Climate Central organization estimates that by 2050, approximately 13 million people in the Philippines could be at risk of coastal flooding, especially during the typhoon seasons and other extreme weather events.

As sea levels encroach upon habitable areas, displacement becomes a grim reality for many coastal residents. Rising waters force communities to retreat inland, leading to the potential migration of millions of people. Such mass migration can strain resources, exacerbate urbanization issues, and increase the risk of social tensions. Agriculture, a vital sector for the Philippines, is also heavily impacted by sea level rise. Low-lying coastal regions, including fertile delta areas, are at risk of salinization due to seawater intrusion. The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) warns that sea level rise could reduce rice production, the country's staple crop, by up to 75% in the most vulnerable regions.

The economic ramifications of sea level rise are considerable. The Asian Development Bank (ADB) projects that by 2100, the Philippines could experience annual economic losses amounting to 6.7% of its GDP due to climate change, including sea level rise impacts. This financial strain would further challenge the country's efforts to achieve sustainable development goals.

Recognizing the urgency of the situation, the Philippine government has undertaken various measures to mitigate and adapt to sea level rise. These efforts include enhancing early warning systems for coastal hazards, constructing protective infrastructure, and promoting climate-resilient agricultural practices. 

To secure a sustainable future for the Philippines, it is imperative for governments, organizations, and individuals to work together, cutting down greenhouse gas emissions, adopting climate-resilient strategies, and implementing policies to protect vulnerable populations and ecosystems from the rising tide of climate change. 



Bibliography:

Asian Development Bank (ADB). "Economics of Climate Change in Southeast Asia: A Regional Review." ADB, 2010

Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). "Climate Change Implications for Fisheries and Aquaculture." FAO Fisheries and Aquaculture Technical Paper No. 627, 2018

Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). "Climate Change and Sea Level Rise." PAGASA