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Dramatic warming projected in world's major cities by 2050

by Sumit Chowdhury | 18-07-2019 01:17 recommendations 0

By the year 2050, London's climate will resemble Madrid's today; Paris will be more like Canberra; Stockholm like Budapest and Moscow like Sofia, according to a new analysis.

The changes will be even more dramatic for the world's major tropical cities like Kuala Lumpur, Jakarta, and Singapore which will experience unprecedented climate conditions, resulting in extreme weather events and intense droughts. The study was carried out by scientists from ETH Zurich and published in PLOS ONE.
Researchers examined the climate of the world's 520 major cities using 19 variables that reflect variability in temperature and precipitation.

Future projections were estimated using established modeling that was intentionally optimistic, meaning it assumed carbon dioxide emissions would stabilize by the middle of the century through the implementation of green policies, with a mean global temperature increase of 1.4 Celsius.

The team then compared climate similarity of current and future cities to one another, and the results make for dire reading. Across the northern hemisphere, cities in 2050 will resemble places that are over 1,000 kilometers (600 miles) further south towards the equator. Those closer to the equator won't see drastic warming but will likely have more extremes of drought and rainfall.

Overall, 77 percent of the world's cities will experience a "striking change" in climate conditions, while 22 percent will experience "novel" conditions -- ie something that has never before been encountered. In Europe, summers and winters will get warmer, with average increases of 3.5 celsius and 4.7 celsius, respectively.

It's been more than 30 years that most of us have agreed that there is a climate change which is caused by human activity, but still we fail to really transform that in to global actions. 

source: AFP
 
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5 Comments

  • Louis Mentor says :
    Hi Sumit,

    Thank you for your report on climate change. I think your picture is really relevant and it helps me to understand your report better. Please do not forget to check one more time. Thanks.

    Louis Mentor
    Posted 25-07-2019 00:44

Kushal Naharki

  • Kushal Naharki says :
    Hello Sumit

    I do hope that you are fine and doing great with your works.
    Thank you for your report about Dramatic warming projected in world's major cities by 2050. I really loved reading this article

    Green Cheers from Nepal :)
    Keep writing great reports.
    We are eager to read more reports from you.

    Regards,
    Kushal Naharki

    Posted 23-07-2019 23:08

  • Rosa Domingos says :
    Hey there Sumit!

    I hope you are well!
    Climate change has now shown its actual effects currently and with the research conducted by ETH Zurich Scientists only proves that climate change conditions will worsen our weather for the coming future in all the major countries.

    It is sad but I'll have to agree with you on the fact that the we've agreed to take action that will minimise our emissions we still haven't moved from where we started many years ago we failing to change our climate and that I also believe that our future will not be what we hope for.

    Thank you for this eye-opening report. I wish to see more of your work in the future!!
    Warm regards
    Rosa Tiimuma Domingos
    Posted 21-07-2019 21:41

  • Wonhee Mentor says :
    Hello Sumit

    The result that more than three quarters of cities will experience 'striking changes' in climate conditions by 2050 is really surprising. It's even more surprising that this projections were actually estimated under optimistic expectation. I wonder what cities would be like in 2050 if carbon dioxide emission grow faster in the future. Thank you for sharing this informative report with us!

    Wonhee Mentor

    Posted 19-07-2019 22:30

  • Himadri Gunarathna says :
    This is an excellent and timely article. Could you please let us know the source of the original article by AFP? Thank you.
    Posted 18-07-2019 07:17

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